|   Case studies examining the economic impact 
              of the "Forests and Fish" rules on NIPF LandownersBy 
            Kevin Zobrist, UW-CFR
 Graduate Student
 
 In response to the 
            listing of salmon under the Endangered Species Act (ESA), a caucus 
            of federal and state agencies, industry, non-industrial private 
            landowners, and Native American tribes developed a new Forests and 
            Fish Agreement. New forest practice rules affecting riparian zones 
            have been developed from this agreement to meet the requirements of 
            the ESA and Clean Water Act. The rules for Western Washington 
            established riparian buffer for fish-bearing streams that extends to 
            approximately 170 feet (depending on the site) on either side of the 
            stream. The buffer is divided into 3 zones as follows:
 
              The purpose of this 
            study is to examine the economic impacts of these riparian buffers 
            on small, non-industrial private forest (NIPF) landowners, and 
            specifically to examine the extent and disparity of these impacts. 
            The SBEIS (Small Business Economic Impact Statement) has already 
            looked at the average impacts on NIPF landowners, but this only 
            tells part of the story. With these case studies, we are able to 
            gain a more detailed perspective on how small landowners are 
            impacted, where they are falling in relation to this average, and 
            what sort of disparity is created. It is important to go beyond 
            statistical averages and look in depth at how actual landowners are 
            impacted by the new rules, what factors drive those impacts, and 
            what can be done to mitigate those impacts. Several NIPF landowners 
            in Lewis County, WA have volunteered their property for use in this 
            study.Core Zone: No harvesting allowed. 
              Inner Zone: Partial harvest is allowed under two 
              options if minimum basal area requirements to meet Desired Future 
              Condition (DFC) are met.Option 1: Thin 
              From Below
 Option 2: Leave trees closes to 
              the stream ("whack and pack")
Outer Zone: Harvest is allowed, but 20 trees per acre 
              of 12" in diameter must be retained.  For each case study, management of the property is simulated 
            using GIS and computer growth models for five different 
            scenarios: 
              An economic 
            analysis is done to compute the estimated timber value, bare land 
            value, and total forest value for each scenario. The results of the 
            Forests and Fish scenarios can then be compared to the baseline 
            scenario to examine the incremental impact of the new requirements. 
            It is hoped that from these case studies best strategies for small 
            landowners will emerge. Three case studies have been completed so 
            far.Baseline scenario - management under the previous forest 
              practice regulations 
              Forests/Fish rules with no harvest in the riparian zone 
              Forests/Fish rules with harvest included in the outer zone 
              Forests/Fish rules with harvest in the outer zone and partial 
              removal in the inner zone under option 1 
              Forests/Fish rules with harvest in the outer zone and partial 
              removal in the inner zone under option 2
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