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             January 2005 
            By Elaine Oneil  
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                  a PDF copy of Fact Sheet
              #31  
            
              
                Stand density index (SDI) has been used to rank eastern
                      Washington forest conditions relative to stocking targets
                      for forest health (see RTI
                      FS 25). However, the SDI approach
                      assumes that we have an accurate assessment of stand viability
                      at a given density and quadratic mean diameter (DBHq).
                      To better determine what SDI level is indicative of stands
                      that are likely to be healthy, we use a measure of stand
                      vigor called growth basal area (GBA). Stand vigor has historically
                      been linked to GBA in eastern Washington dry sites as it
                      reflects inherent site carrying capacity better than measures
                      of density, relative density, and basal area. An examination
                      of estimated GBA across eastern Washington habitat types
                      shows wide variability depending upon species and site
                      characteristics. Categorizing this variability into a usable
                      system will be of value to policy makers and small landowners
                      in the development of stocking level targets that meet
                    forest health goals in a sustainable manner. 
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                Of current concern in eastern Washington forests
                  is the proliferation of stand replacing disturbances of a magnitude
                  thought to be beyond the historic range of variability (Everett
                  et al. 2000). These stand replacing events, whether from fire,
                  insect epidemic, or disease have garnered the attention of
                  policy makers and the public, especially the people who live
                  in affected communities. The premise in the forest health discussion
                  is that the forests are ‘stressed’ and thus subject
                  to increasing pressure from natural vectors because of ‘overstocking’.
                  In looking for solutions to forest health problems, we need
                  to combine knowledge of plant physiology, stand dynamics, and
                  site specific ecological metrics to determine when a forest
                  is ‘overstocked’ and vulnerable to health decline.
                  Only then can we determine optimal treatments, designed for
                  density reductions to maintain healthy forest conditions.  
                   
                  The historic management approach over the last 100 years has
                  favored continuous forest cover and ‘uneven-aged’ management
                  strategies combined with fire suppression. The result has been
                  multi-layered stands of shade-tolerant species across much
                  of the landscape. Insects and disease build up in multi-layered
                  stand structures resulting in extensive epidemics because of
                  the continuity of food sources for these forest health vectors.
                  In addition, the focus of many foresters on a ‘normal
                  forest’ or full stocking management emphasis may have
                  led to broad misunderstanding of ‘overstocked’ conditions
                  relative to stand carrying capacity. Metrics such as Curtis’ Relative
                  Density (RD) and Reineke’s Stand Density Index (SDI)
                  were developed to provide standardized stocking metrics relative
                  to a ‘fully stocked’ stand, but only with Hall’s
                  (1989) growth basal area (GBA) do we get an actual measure
                  of stand vigor relative to site. Growth basal area is defined
                  as the basal area measured in square feet/acre that a stand
                  can carry and still maintain growth rates of 1”in diameter
                  at breast height/decade for dominant trees at 100 years of
                  age. By keying stocking levels to growth rate, a site specific
                  determination of when the stand is ‘carrying a high basal
                  area’ is possible. Using GBA, the range of potential
                  forest health impacts that an individual forest owner might
                  encounter for different stocking levels can be estimated. For
                  example, GBA is indexed to a growth rate where susceptibility
                  to attack by mountain pine beetle (MPB) (Dendroctonus ponderosae,
                  Hopkins.) is reduced (Hall 1989, Sartwell 1971).
                  The mechanics of tree physiology support the use of GBA
                    as a response variable for measuring site carrying capacity
                    and as a useful proxy for relative tree stress as a function
                    of stocking densities, diameter distributions, and species.
                    Trees allocate resources to diameter growth and defense against
                    insects and disease after a host of other priorities including
                    root and shoot growth, scar tissue development, cone development,
                    and height growth. By virtue of location in the ranking of
                    resource allocation, diameter growth provides a useable estimator
                    for tree vigor and stand health, both of which are closely
                    linked to the potential for insect and disease impacts when                    these vectors are present. At epidemic levels, the relationship
                    between the tree host and insect and disease vectors requires
                    a substantially different approach to management beyond application
                of density control measures. 
                     
                 
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                Carrying capacity as measured by stand basal
                    area growth is best estimated after the initial spring flush
                    of root, shoot, cone, and height growth is complete. Diameter
                    growth is more responsive to growing-season water stress
                    than height growth which occurs in the early part of the
                    growing season for most eastern Washington coniferous species.
                    Since stand stress is related to limitations on the availability
                    of growing-season moisture and nutrients, we can use diameter
                    growth of dominant trees and the stocking density of the
                    forest stand as measured by basal area (BA) and quadratic
                    mean diameter (DBHq) to estimate stand stress and the subsequent
                    reduced resilience to forest pests. To test the correlation
                    between basal area growth and stand stress causing reduced
                    resistance to forest health vectors, we simulated growth
                    across a variety of habitat types and mapped these outputs
                    against the threshold basal areas reported in field studies
                    on stands having similar site indices and/or habitat types.
                    Simulations of ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) regenerated
                    at an initial density of 400 trees/acre using default site
                    index and stand density index by habitat type for the East
                    Cascades (EC) variant of the Forest Vegetation Simulator
                    (FVS) were used to generate the range of curves shown in
                    Figure 1. As expected, growth limiting factors vary by habitat
                    type resulting in different basal area maxima over the 100
                    year simulation period.  
                    
                  
                    
                      | Figure 1: | 
                       Ponderosa pine growth on various habitat
                        types in the East Cascades as simulated by FVS 
                        Threshold values are from: #1 Schmid and Mata 1992, #2
                        Sartwell and Stevens 1975, #3 Sartwell 1971, #4 Oliver,
                      W.W. 1995, #5 Larsson et al. 1983. | 
                     
                   
                  Basal area ‘thresholds’ (the dotted lines) for
                    Mountain pine beetle (MPB) reported in the literature plotted
                    against these growth curves demonstrate a trend toward increasing
                    the estimated stocking ‘threshold’ for bark beetle
                    outbreak as site quality increases. While the basal area
                    threshold of 150 ft2/acre reported by Sartwell and Stevens
                    (1975) has
                    been accepted as an average threshold for MPB in ponderosa
                    pine, there have been a wide range of reported thresholds
                    for differing site conditions. At the lower end, Larsson
                    et al.
                    (1983) report a basal area threshold for MPB outbreak of
                    78 ft2/acre on stands with an estimated site index of 60
                    feet
                    in 100 years, while Oliver (1992) reports a threshold of
                    170 ft2/acre of basal area on stands with a site index of
                    92 feet
                    in 100 years. The broad range of thresholds reported suggests
                    that site quality plays an important role in determining
                    maximum stocking levels that can be sustained such that the
                    forest
                    stand retains adequate resistance to endemic levels of insects
                  and disease. 
                     
                          
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                A suitable measure of site quality for estimating
                    the potential for forest health problems across the landscape
                    should be sensitive to diameter growth. The most commonly
                    used measure of site quality is site index which is relatively
                    insensitive to stand density and is a poor indicator of diameter
                    growth potential. However, site index is useful to separate
                    diameter growth potentials into smaller ‘bins’ for
                    eventual classification and application of ‘rules of
                    thumb’. As an example, Figure 2 shows the relationship
                    between GBA and site index for Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga
                    menziesii),
                    ponderosa pine, and lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta) on mapped
                    upland habitat types in eastern Washington. An overlay of
                    site class (site index groupings) on the GBA/SI relationship
                    in Figure 2 demonstrates that there is a broad range of GBA
                    that occurs within a given site class and for a given species.
                    The variability in GBA would imply that an approach to forest
                    health using average metrics may not address the thresholds
                    of risk associated with multiple species and different habitat
                    types. A system that specifies assessment criteria based
                    on habitat type groups may be appropriate in meeting forest
                    health goals in the context of other management criteria,
                    but it will take time to develop this approach and provide
                    the necessary training and education for its implementation
                    in the field. Conversely, grouping the GBA values by site
                    index ‘bins’ provides a simple means of reducing
                    forest variability into management subsets for most species.
                    An exception is lodgepole pine which has GBA values that
                    are not well correlated to site index.  
                 
                      
                    
                      
                        | Figure
                            2: | 
                         Stand
                            carrying capacity by species and site index for eastern
                        Washington habitat types.  | 
                       
                     
                    Use of site index or site class for forest growth classification
                      is commonly accepted in current forest practices rules
                      and within the larger field forestry community. By using
                      site class ‘bins’ to estimate the biological
                      thresholds for insects and disease, a series of look-up
                      tables can be generated that would
                      identify risk thresholds by diameter, stocking level and/or
                      basal area target. An example table is given in Table
                      1. 
                     
                       
                      
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                Table 1 uses target densities
                    of 150 TPA to illustrate carrying capacity thresholds leading
                    to forest health risks as derived from the relationship between
                    minimum GBA and site class (Good, Medium, Poor) as given
                    in Figure 2. Tables can be created for any diameter and density
                    target to assess forest health risks relative to stand carrying
                    capacity and site quality. The look-up table simplifies the
                    threshold decision criteria for a given density or diameter
                    target, but does not substitute for the need to collect stand
                    data to confirm site GBA and adapt management targets to
                    integrate forest health with volume, habitat, or structural
                    goals. It is worthy of note that the data used to derive
                    these look-up tables have been developed from national forest
                    ecological classification inventory plots. Carrying capacity
                    may be reduced if expectations of changing future climatic
                    conditions are realized (McKenzie et al. 2004). 
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                  Table 1: Stand metrics for a target density
                    of 150 TPA including assessment of forest health risk by
                    site class. 
                    
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                Conclusions 
Forest health challenges can be addressed by considering site parameters and
    the multiple metrics that influence stand dynamics. Defining appropriate
    stocking levels across a range of density, diameter and basal area targets
    is one step toward developing desired future forest health conditions. Immediate
    classification steps are possible using existing data on site index and GBA
    by habitat type, but an assessment procedure that specifically incorporates
    habitat type and measured growth basal area into site quality equations for
    forest health is needed to determine appropriate stocking levels across the
    landscape. Categorization of forest variability into a usable system for
    policy makers and landowners will help to ensure density management strategies
    can meet desired future conditions and forest health goals simultaneously.  
                      
                    References: 
                    
                      - Everett, R., R. Scellhaas, D. Ketchum, D. Spurbeck
                        and P. Ohlson, 2000, Fire history in the ponderosa pine/Douglas-fir
                        forests on the east slope of the Washington Cascades,
                        Forest Ecology and Management 129: 207-225.
 
                      - Hall, Frederick C., 1989, The concept and application
                        of Growth Basal Area: A forestland stockability index,
                        R6-Ecol Tech Paper 007-88, USDA FS, PNW Region
 
                      - Larsson, S., R. Oren, R.H. Waring and J.W. Barrett,
                        1983, Attacks of mountain pine beetle as related to tree
                        vigor of ponderosa pine, Forest Science, 29(2):395-402.
 
                      - Lillybridge, Terry R., Bernard L. Kovalchik, Clinton
                        K. Williams, and Bradley G. Smith, 1995, Field Guide
                        for forested plant associations of the Wenatchee National
                        Forest, PNW-GTR-359, USDA FS Pacific Northwest Research
                        Station.
 
                      - McKenzie, D., Z. Gedalof, D. Peterson and P. Mote,
                        2004, Climate change, wildfire, and conservation, Conservation
                        Biology, 8(4):890-902.
 
                      - Oliver, W.W., 1995, Is self thinning in ponderosa pine
                        ruled by Dendroctonus bark beetles? In Proceedings of
                        the 1995 National Silviculture Workshop titled Forest
                        Health through Silviculture, Rocky Mountain Gen Tech
                        Rpt #267, USDA FS RM For and Rg Exp Stn.
 
                      - Sartwell, C., 1971, Thinning ponderosa pine to prevent
                        outbreaks of mountain pine beetle. In David M. Baumgartner
                        (ed.) Pre-commercial thinning of coastal and intermountain
                        forests in the Pacific Northwest, p 41-52, Washington
                        State University Cooperative Extension Service, Pullman,
                        WA.
 
                      - Sartwell C. and Stevens, R.E. 1975, Mountain Pine Beetle
                        in Ponderosa Pine – prospects for silvicultural
                        control in second growth stands, Journal of Forestry,
                        73:136-140.
 
                      - Schmid, J.M. and S.A. Mata, 1992, Stand density and
                        mountain pine beetle caused tree mortality in ponderosa
                        pine stands, Research Note RM 515, USDA FS RM For and
                        Rg Exp Stn
 
                      - Williams, Clinton K., and Terry R. Lillybridge, 1983,
                        Forested Plant Associations of the Okanogan National
                        Forest, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research
                        Station, R6-Ecol-132b-1983.
 
                      - Williams, Clinton K., Brian F. Kelley, Bradley G. Smith,
                        and Terry R. Lillybridge, 1995, Forested Plant Associations
                        of the Colville National Forest, USDA Forest Service,
                        Pacific Northwest Research Station, Gen Tech Rpt., PNW-GTR-360. 
 
                   
                       
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